The Godmother, Part III

Posted: 2019/07/26 in Okay...so here's the thing...

Joe Biden is like the second sequel in a movie franchise, one of those where the main star of the first film and its sequel is replaced by a new lead actor. That’s right – Biden is Hillary Clinton, Episode 3.

As Marx channeled Hegel, “History always repeats itself: the first time as tragedy and the second time as farce.”

The Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary are 6 months away (from July 2019) and Biden has already peaked in the polls. He has nowhere to go but down. How do we know that?

  • Because Joe Biden is a known quantity, like someone you met and stayed in touch with since college.
  • Because anyone who WOULD support him already knows everything they need to know about him to give him their support.
  • Because those who wouldn’t support him either can’t be brought to support him over some other candidate, or already KNOW they prefer some other candidate.

With his current support hovering around 25% the only thing that can happen is a slow but steady erosion due to gaffes, reminders of his past behavior that hurt him, and endless reports of his shrinking support, forming a sort of negative feedback loop.

We’ve all seen this movie before. It’s the same plot as Hillary I (2008) and Hillary II (2016), only with a more affable Hillary. You know how it’s going to end. There won’t be another sequel.

So you’d best bet on a different horse now. This one won’t make it to the finish line in the qualifying race.

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